2/18 Fri - Coulda, Shoulda blocked, but didn't

[Dlan]

https://worldofcardgames.com/#!replayer ... %3A1%7D%5D

[raydog]

I agree S1 "coulda" blocked, but I disagree that they "shoulda" blocked.

About 12% chance of a successful lone by dealer if they pass (EV = -1.19); about a 92% chance or being euchred if they declare (EV = -1.79). It's still early days in this game. Giving up an almost sure 2 pts. (11 out of 12 times) is going to hurt their game-winning prospects far more than perhaps giving up 4 pts. (1 out of 8 times).

[Wes (aka the legend)]

https://worldofcardgames.com/#!replayer ... %3A1%7D%5D

Up 4-1 against a Jack upcard with no trump and only 1 off ace, this is ONE of those spots where I'm not budging no matter what a simulator says. I'm donating everytime in this spot. One could argue that my stubborn stance is not rational and I would have no way to counter that.

[Wes (aka the legend)]

I agree S1 "coulda" blocked, but I disagree that they "shoulda" blocked.

About 12% chance of a successful lone by dealer if they pass (EV = -1.19); about a 92% chance or being euchred if they declare (EV = -1.79). It's still early days in this game. Giving up an almost sure 2 pts. (11 out of 12 times) is going to hurt their game-winning prospects far more than perhaps giving up 4 pts. (1 out of 8 times).

That's a bigger EV gap than I would've predicted. -1.19 vs -1.79. Wow. It's very possible--if not probable--I am intuitively undervaluing that singleton green off ace.

[Tbolt65]

I Knew it as soon as I passed. I was hoping they wouldn't go alone. This is a good spot for a donate. However given the situation it wasn't a egregious slip up.

Tbolt65
Edward