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by Richardb02 » Thu Nov 12, 2020 4:52 pm
I agree with Wes. As usual I would explain it differently and hopefully more simply.
S2 as maker is responsible for 2 tricks. You in S4 are responsible for 1. So, with a weak hand, you need to take your 1 trick as soon as you can. You then need to rely on the strength of the Maker’s hand.
Then you must make a lead playing to Maker’s strength. Most of the time, that would mean leading reverse next, Kc. You are hoping that S3 has another club, based on there being 6 clubs available for play vs. only 5 next cards available in hearts.
Wes’ nuance, ,“double leading the suit [that] I think S3 is most likely to still have,” is perfectly correct, based on an advanced player, like Wes, spotting an adverse card distribution. That is above my skill level. Wes remembers every card that is played. I limit my card counting to number of trump played, specific trump cards and Aces played by the Maker. I confess that I struggle with keeping my limited “card counting,” in a game situation.
So my MO, is to play within my Casual + skill level. I would trump the 3rd trick and then lead reverse next, Kc, based on a higher probability that S3 has a club than a heart.
. Crap hand. 
2nd trick s3 leads 
and takes that trick. Now we're down 2-0. 3rd trick s3 leads my void suit, spades. Let's say its the 
. Do you trump it? The problem is that if you do you now have to lead a previously led suite through your partner.
or 
and escapes the squeeze when S3 doesn't have a high enough trump to overtrump.