Dealer upcard is the

You hold in S3.





Let’s assume score and players are n/a.
Would you order or pass?
Unread post by Richardb02 » Sun Dec 29, 2019 3:16 pm
Unread post by patiencepays » Sun Dec 29, 2019 3:45 pm
In brief, I order. Let say score is them 9 us 4, I go alone.Richardb02 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 3:16 pmWes used this hand in another post
Dealer upcard is the
You hold in S3.
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Let’s assume score and players are n/a.
Would you order or pass?
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Sun Dec 29, 2019 11:57 pm
Richardb02 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 3:16 pmWes used this hand in another post
Dealer upcard is the
You hold in S3.
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Let’s assume score and players are n/a.
Would you order or pass?
Unread post by Wes (aka the legend) » Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:07 am
I would order it but I do think it's still a marginal call due to the "parlay problem" inherent with 3rd Seat calls, and the general problem associated with 3rd seat, I.E. not having the lead plus having the dealer behind you who can overtrump you who you just gave a trump + a void.Richardb02 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 3:16 pmWes used this hand in another post
Dealer upcard is the
You hold in S3.
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Let’s assume score and players are n/a.
Would you order or pass?
Unread post by Richardb02 » Mon Dec 30, 2019 12:50 pm
Excellent! This is the scenario I was looking for! There are no outside influences, specifically Bowers and Aces. I also have a bonus. Tbolt would order.Wes (aka the legend) wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:07 amI would order it but I do think it's still a marginal call due to the "parlay problem" inherent with 3rd Seat calls, and the general problem associated with 3rd seat, I.E. not having the lead plus having the dealer behind you who can overtrump you who you just gave a trump + a void.Richardb02 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 3:16 pmWes used this hand in another post
Dealer upcard is the
You hold in S3.
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Let’s assume score and players are n/a.
Would you order or pass?
The parlay problem: Everytime you order in 3rd, 1st rd and the dealer would've called had you passed you've cost your team, and everytime you order in 3rd, 1st rd and your P had at least a 1 point 2nd round call you've also cost your team by taking an unnecessary risk in the 1st rd. IOW you need a parlay to occur to make your 3rd seat call technically correct, (both the dealer and your P have to have passing hands/or your P would've went set on a 2nd rd call). By technically correct I simply mean if you could see everyone's cards you still would've made that 3rd seat call. If that's not the case then a 3rd seat call would've been a technical mistake (not an actual real mistake, but technical mistakes are still something we would wish to minimize if possible).
All that said, subtly change the hand to this:
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And I have a partner like Edward. Then I'm passing this at most scores. Having approx 2 tricks in Next is a licence to bag the dealer all day when you have a strong partner in the 1 seat.
Unread post by Wes (aka the legend) » Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:02 pm
I like where you're going with this Richard but keep in mind that if your partner is not a skilled player (like 99% aren't) then you have to loosen up a tad from 3rd (not too much cuz the nature of the position doesn't give you much wiggle room)Richardb02 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 12:50 pmExcellent! This is the scenario I was looking for! There are no outside influences, specifically Bowers and Aces. I also have a bonus. Tbolt would order.
Let me explain that back in BPS, this hand is valued at 3.25. It is your edge hand when there are no other factors to consider. You would order at 3.25 (uncomfortably) if you used BPS-Basic. I have been using 2.75, but after our 3rd or 4th or Nth go round on this topic, I now see your wisdom. I will make 3.25 my minimum from S3.
I can also “quantify” the value of your “advanced concepts.” Your subtle change from ato a
creates a protected Left in Next. That is worth at least -.25 as a disincentive to order. Additionally the protective Left being in Next is worth another -.25. I even see another -.25 from a Next protected Left from S3. So your subtly changed hand only rates 2.50. At 2.50 I would definitely pass because we have a strong possibility of euchring S4, if S4 picks up. Plus S1, expected to Call Next, has an excellent probability of earning us 1 or even 2 points.
Am I now grasping your concept of avoiding a technical mistake?
Unread post by Richardb02 » Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:53 pm
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Mon Dec 30, 2019 5:27 pm
Richardb02 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:53 pmSince you liked my direction, let’s add player impact to our discussion.
My simplified approach is based on 2 principles: the factor must be easily determined and the smallest increment is .25 points.
Most players are weak let’s assign them a zero. Once we have seen a demonstration of strong calling and/or card playing let’s give them +0.25.
The next area we can observe is specific Seat performance. We like a player who Calls Next well from S1 or they lead trump to my S3 order that +0.25.
We can list out other positive performances from the other 3 seats.
I would limit my adjustment to 0.25 for general performance and 0.25 for specific seat performance. So the maximum adjustment is 0.50.
Any observations, criticisms or recommendations?
Unread post by Richardb02 » Mon Dec 30, 2019 8:25 pm
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Tue Dec 31, 2019 12:59 pm
Unread post by Richardb02 » Wed Jan 01, 2020 5:06 pm
Wes (aka the legend) wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:02 pmI like where you're going with this Richard but keep in mind that if your partner is not a skilled player (like 99% aren't) then you have to loosen up a tad from 3rd (not too much cuz the nature of the position doesn't give you much wiggle room)Richardb02 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 12:50 pmExcellent! This is the scenario I was looking for! There are no outside influences, specifically Bowers and Aces. I also have a bonus. Tbolt would order.
Let me explain that back in BPS, this hand is valued at 3.25. It is your edge hand when there are no other factors to consider. You would order at 3.25 (uncomfortably) if you used BPS-Basic. I have been using 2.75, but after our 3rd or 4th or Nth go round on this topic, I now see your wisdom. I will make 3.25 my minimum from S3.
I can also “quantify” the value of your “advanced concepts.” Your subtle change from ato a
creates a protected Left in Next. That is worth at least -.25 as a disincentive to order. Additionally the protective Left being in Next is worth another -.25. I even see another -.25 from a Next protected Left from S3. So your subtly changed hand only rates 2.50. At 2.50 I would definitely pass because we have a strong possibility of euchring S4, if S4 picks up. Plus S1, expected to Call Next, has an excellent probability of earning us 1 or even 2 points.
Am I now grasping your concept of avoiding a technical mistake?
Let’s put BPS-Advanced to work. After investing several hours into this post, I’ve concluded that for BPS-Adv, we will add points to the minimum needed to order, instead of adjusting the value of the hand. The main reason is that the factors: player value, value of Jacks and value of Aces contribute to passing being more productive than ordering. This will make more sense as you work through examples. I just wanted to present this principle for reference asap.
If you can't depend on your partner to call Next then
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Is a must order.
1.00 Right
0.50 Kh
0.25 9h
0.75 Ac, Green Singleton
0.25 Spade Void
0.50 3 trump
3.25 BPS, meets minimum, Poor Player, Matches Wes’ “Must Order”
_____Incompetent Player (My starting point for an unknown player)
+.25 Proven competent in general
3.50 Min, pass
+.50 Proven competent in general plus at the appropriate Seat (S1 R2)
3.75 Min, Pass
+.75 You have complete confidence in your Partner
4.00 Min, Pass
In fact if your partner doesn't play well in the 2nd round then I suspect that all Right + 2 combos may be an order. An example to illustrate my point:
Dealer upcard is theand I'm in 3rd with:
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If my partner is a skilled player, I'm passing this marginal hand with 1 trick in Next. I'm never passing this with the run of the mill partner
1.00 Right
0.50 Qh
0.25 Th
0.25 Spade Void
0.50 3 Trump
2.50 This hand is 3 klicks weaker than the previous hand. Pass
+.25 Proven competent in general
3.50 Min, pass
+.50 Proven competent in general plus at the appropriate Seat (S1 R2)
3.75 Min, Pass
+.75 You have complete confidence in your Partner
4.00 Min, Pass
This goes against Wes’ guidance but this hand is too weak to order IMO. Note: I was at 2.75 points minimum order and in fact 2.50 before going to 2.75 as the typical poor player minimum. So 2.50 may be the best min once we add in all of Wes’ factors including Player, Jacks, Aces and Donation. I.E. No Jacks, No Aces, add 0.75 to the hand value = 3.25, order (I would rather donate than allow Opp to get 4)
.
Another example, same KH upcard:
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0.75 Left, Jd
0.50 Ah
0.25 Th
0.75 Ac
0.25 Diamond Void
0.75 3 Trump with Power (Power is 2 out of 3 RLA)
3.25 Meets minimum with unskilled player to order
+.25 Proven competent in general
3.50 Min, pass
+.50 Proven competent in general plus at the appropriate Seat (S1 R2)
3.75 Min, Pass
+.75 You have complete confidence in your Partner
4.00 Min, Pass
This lines up well with Wes’ direction.
I'm always passing this with a skilled partner with 3 approx tricks in Next, and frankly I'm not sure what to do with an unskilled partner becuz you have two countervailing currents going on here. I wanna pass to trap the dealer becuz with the Right bower in the wild there's still a decent amount of calling combos the dealer can have, but I also wanna call due to not trusting my partner in the 2nd round. I tend to pass and gamble regardless due to the parlay problem unless Seat 1 is a horrible player but I'm not super confident in my approach.
If we ignore “3 approximate tricks in Next” the BPS recommendations make sense.
My concept to address, “3 approximate tricks in Next”, is focused on assigning values to Jacks and Aces. They are easy to observe and reflect “approximate tricks.” They will add points to the minimum and indicate pass.
Another example withupcard, score 0-0:
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This is the worst possible Right+2 hand from 3rd Seat. With a skilled partner I'm never calling this weak hand with 1 trick in Next. Even with an unskilled partner I really don't like this hand--I feel like I'm gonna regret my actions no matter what I do. I guess I would call in that instance but this could easily be wrong.
1.00 Right
0.25 Th
0.25 9h
0.25 Club Void
0.50 3 Trump
2.25 3.25 min, pass
To me, this is an example of how a point system shines. We get fixated on one point, in this case an unskilled partner and miss the most important factors. This hand is too weak to order, period, unless you are happy with 45% success, 55% euchred!
What about when we have a skilled partner but we have a marginal hand without 1 trick in Next. A hand like this:
Dealer upcard:, we're in 3rd with:
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1.00 Right
0.50 Qh
0.25 9h
0.25 Diamond Void
0.50 3 Trump
2.50 Min 3.25 Pass.
This is similar to a post where you corrected me that it is not always up to me. You have a Partner. P sits in a superior seat. P has a 30% probability of having the cards in the wild. S4 R1 can’t result in 4 points.
Now having said all of that, 3.25 min may be too high. I have suggested that it could be as low as 2.50 especially once we factor in Players, Jacks and Aces that would raise the min and direct us to pass. If 3.25 is the correct min for a very skilled player, that would be 2.50 for a poor player.
We now have a framework where we go back through the hands, recalibrate the numbers and see if the results pass the smell test. Then try it in real games.
Fortunately, the other 3 seats aren’t as variable as S3.
Is this a call becuz our skilled partner can't hit us well in Next? or is this a pass due to the inherent marginality of the hand/parlay problem? I don't know the answer, I do tend to call with a skilled partner becuz they can't hit me well in Next, but that could easily be wrong. With an unskilled partner this is an autocall.
I would suggest that Left in Next is still valuable, if just because Opp do not have it. Secondly if S1 has power in Trump, he doesn’t need it. If he has a weak Next call you would expect him to lead a low trump or off trump. Your Left can take a trick or draw the Right. BPS gives you 1.00 in next, 0.75 Left + 0.25 Void. That’s 0.80 trick. That is close enough to the 1 trick S1 is counting on.
Like I've said before. 3rd Seat, 1st Rd is a mindf*#@!
Unread post by Richardb02 » Thu Jan 02, 2020 8:16 pm
Richardb02 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 5:06 pmWes (aka the legend) wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 3:02 pmI like where you're going with this Richard but keep in mind that if your partner is not a skilled player (like 99% aren't) then you have to loosen up a tad from 3rd (not too much cuz the nature of the position doesn't give you much wiggle room)Richardb02 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 12:50 pmExcellent! This is the scenario I was looking for! There are no outside influences, specifically Bowers and Aces. I also have a bonus. Tbolt would order.
Let me explain that back in BPS, this hand is valued at 3.25. It is your edge hand when there are no other factors to consider. You would order at 3.25 (uncomfortably) if you used BPS-Basic. I have been using 2.75, but after our 3rd or 4th or Nth go round on this topic, I now see your wisdom. I will make 3.25 my minimum from S3.
I can also “quantify” the value of your “advanced concepts.” Your subtle change from ato a
creates a protected Left in Next. That is worth at least -.25 as a disincentive to order. Additionally the protective Left being in Next is worth another -.25. I even see another -.25 from a Next protected Left from S3. So your subtly changed hand only rates 2.50. At 2.50 I would definitely pass because we have a strong possibility of euchring S4, if S4 picks up. Plus S1, expected to Call Next, has an excellent probability of earning us 1 or even 2 points.
Am I now grasping your concept of avoiding a technical mistake?
Let’s put BPS-Advanced to work. After investing several hours into this post, I’ve concluded that for BPS-Adv, we will add points to the minimum needed to order, instead of adjusting the value of the hand. The main reason is that the factors: player value, value of Jacks and value of Aces contribute to passing being more productive than ordering. This will make more sense as you work through examples. I just wanted to present this principle for reference asap.
If you can't depend on your partner to call Next then
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Is a must order.
1.00 Right
0.50 Kh
0.25 9h
0.75 Ac, Green Singleton
0.25 Spade Void
0.50 3 trump
-.25 Value of K Up vs 9 min, 5-.25
3.00 BPS, meets minimum 2.50, Poor Player, Matches Wes’ “Must Order”
_____Incompetent Player (My starting point for an unknown player)
+.25 Proven competent in general
2.75 Min, Order
+.50 Proven competent in general plus at the appropriate Seat (S1 R2)
3.00 Min, Order
+.75 You have complete confidence in your Partner
3.25 Min, Pass, trust your Partner to Call Next
Matches Wes’ “must order”
In fact if your partner doesn't play well in the 2nd round then I suspect that all Right + 2 combos may be an order. An example to illustrate my point:
Dealer upcard is theand I'm in 3rd with:
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If my partner is a skilled player, I'm passing this marginal hand with 1 trick in Next. I'm never passing this with the run of the mill partner
1.00 Right
0.50 Qh
0.25 Th
0.25 Spade Void
0.50 3 Trump
-.25 Value of K Up vs 9 min, 5-.25
2.25 This hand is 3 klicks weaker than the previous hand. Pass
+.25 Proven competent in general
2.50 Min, pass
+.50 Proven competent in general plus at the appropriate Seat (S1 R2)
2.75 Min, Pass
+.75 You have complete confidence in your Partner
3.00 Min, Pass
This goes against Wes’ guidance to order, but this hand is too weak to order IMO. I am using 2.50 as the best min once we add in all of Wes’ factors including Player, Jacks, Aces and Donation. I.E. No Jacks, No Aces, add 0.75 to the hand value = 3.25, order (I would rather donate than allow Opp to get 4)
.
Another example, same KH upcard:
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0.75 Left, Jd
0.50 Ah
0.25 Th
0.75 Ac
0.25 Diamond Void
0.75 3 Trump with Power (Power is 2 out of 3 RLA)
-.25 Value of K Up vs 9 min, 5-.25
3.00 Min 2.50 with unskilled player, Order
+.25 Proven competent in general
2.75 Min, Order
+.50 Proven competent in general plus at the appropriate Seat (S1 R2)
3.00 Min, Order
+.75 You have complete confidence in your Partner
3.25 Min, Pass with a Trusted Partner
This lines up well with Wes’ direction.
I'm always passing this with a skilled partner with 3 approx tricks in Next, and frankly I'm not sure what to do with an unskilled partner becuz you have two countervailing currents going on here. I wanna pass to trap the dealer becuz with the Right bower in the wild there's still a decent amount of calling combos the dealer can have, but I also wanna call due to not trusting my partner in the 2nd round. I tend to pass and gamble regardless due to the parlay problem unless Seat 1 is a horrible player but I'm not super confident in my approach.
If we ignore “3 approximate tricks in Next” the BPS recommendations make sense.
My concept to address, “3 approximate tricks in Next”, is focused on assigning values to Jacks and Aces. They are easy to observe and reflect “approximate tricks.” They will add points to the minimum and indicate pass.
The adjustment range for Jacks and Aces will be 0.25 to 0.75. The additional parameter is that the adjustment will not be applied if Partner is not proven in S1 R2. So with minimum details Jd, Ah, Ac (Wes’ 3 tricks in Next) is valued at 0.50.
+.50 Proven competent in general plus at the appropriate Seat (S1 R2)
3.50 Min, Pass vs order before considering Jacks and Aces
Another example withupcard, score 0-0:
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This is the worst possible Right+2 hand from 3rd Seat. With a skilled partner I'm never calling this weak hand with 1 trick in Next. Even with an unskilled partner I really don't like this hand--I feel like I'm gonna regret my actions no matter what I do. I guess I would call in that instance but this could easily be wrong.
1.00 Right
0.25 Th
0.25 9h
0.25 Club Void
0.50 3 Trump
-.25 Value of A Up vs 9 min, 5-.25
2.00 2.50 min, pass, all types of players
To me, this is an example of how a point system shines. We get fixated on one point, in this case an unskilled partner and miss the most important factors. This hand is too weak to order, period, unless you are happy with 45% success, 55% euchred!
What about when we have a skilled partner but we have a marginal hand without 1 trick in Next. A hand like this:
Dealer upcard:, we're in 3rd with:
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1.00 Right
0.50 Qh
0.25 9h
0.25 Diamond Void
0.50 3 Trump
-.25 Value of K Up vs 9 min, 5-.25
2.25 Min 2.50 Pass, all players
This is similar to a post where you corrected me that it is not always up to me. You have a Partner. P sits in a superior seat. P has a 30% probability of having the cards in the wild. S4 R1 can’t result in 4 points.
We now have a framework where we go back through the hands, recalibrate the numbers and see if the results pass the smell test. Then try it in real games.
Fortunately, the other 3 seats aren’t as variable as S3.
Is this a call becuz our skilled partner can't hit us well in Next? or is this a pass due to the inherent marginality of the hand/parlay problem? I don't know the answer, I do tend to call with a skilled partner becuz they can't hit me well in Next, but that could easily be wrong. With an unskilled partner this is an autocall.
I would suggest that Left in Next is still valuable, if just because Opp do not have it. Secondly if S1 has power in Trump, he doesn’t need it. If he has a weak Next call you would expect him to lead a low trump or off trump. Your Left can take a trick or draw the Right. BPS gives you 1.00 in next, 0.75 Left + 0.25 Void. That’s 0.80 trick. That is close enough to the 1 trick S1 is counting on.
Like I've said before. 3rd Seat, 1st Rd is a mindf*#@!
Unread post by irishwolf » Fri Jan 03, 2020 12:25 am
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Fri Jan 03, 2020 3:34 am
irishwolf wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 12:25 amRichard,
…. move to experience by just playing, evaluate the situation in the way of do I need points or protecting score, evaluating skill of your partner/opponents, and then developing sensing skills. I like to think of my partner as only average unless I have more information. Watch his or her play. If too conservative, then you can be more aggressive, etc. If aggressive, then I can be more conservative. When playing, sometimes you have to be conservative and others swing for the fence. Most of the time, just play your hand skillfully.
Just an opinion!
~Irishwolf
Unread post by Richardb02 » Fri Jan 03, 2020 8:33 am
Unread post by irishwolf » Fri Jan 03, 2020 11:03 am
Unread post by Wes (aka the legend) » Fri Jan 03, 2020 3:59 pm
At our Vegas tournament I would say most are 60 years or older. And most are in poor shape with known health ailments. I am definitely concerned about the future of this game.irishwolf wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 11:03 amLooking down the road for Euchre, the future is attracting new and younger players so this game does not become obsolete and die. Except for Poker, card playing in general is becoming obsolete. I fear that could happen for euchre in the next generation as new recreational activities develop. There are so many things that one can do to occupy your spare time today.
Unread post by Dlan » Fri Jan 03, 2020 5:54 pm
Unread post by Richardb02 » Fri Jan 03, 2020 6:35 pm
Unread post by Dlan » Fri Jan 03, 2020 8:10 pm
Unread post by Richardb02 » Sat Jan 04, 2020 11:51 am
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:44 pm
Richardb02 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 8:33 am
Dlan (Don Bunn creator of OE) recently posted that OE was actually designed for beginners and average players. I developed BPS-Basic as I went from a beginner to average player and beyond. I think BPS-Basic reflects Don’s vision for OE.
The forum has gravitated towards advanced discussions. I struggled at first with the advanced concepts because I did not fully grasp the basic concepts. Some of my questions were weak, off target and worthy of ridicule. I simply ignored posts when they went over my head. In time the concepts made sense. I grasped the concepts and posted appropriate questions, but it took time. Much more time than many people would allow.
I sense that a lot of visitors and first time posters get frustrated and leave our forum. I suggest adding a Forum, “Beginners to Casual Players”, or something similar. Experienced posters will understand, while on that forum, that they are in the nursery of Euchre players. They have to be gentle with the new-borns, infants, toddlers and pre-teens.
What do you think?
Unread post by irishwolf » Mon Jan 06, 2020 1:23 pm
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Mon Jan 06, 2020 2:58 pm
Hence why it's most imperative to get actual game time in with immediate critiques/analysis. So when mistakes are made or something is done well. That can be reinforced with hands on help from those at the table.
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Mon Jan 06, 2020 3:05 pm
Unread post by Richardb02 » Mon Jan 06, 2020 6:42 pm
Unread post by Tbolt65 » Mon Jan 06, 2020 7:47 pm
Yeah I think that is a welcome idea. Perhaps a brief intro to the forum and perhaps some helpful hints to what part of the site to check out and help direct the newcomers.Richardb02 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 06, 2020 6:42 pmI appreciate your posts Tbolt and IrishWolf.
First let me clear up my terminology and recommendation. I am not recommending a new forum. More accurately it is a new topic on the Message Index titled “Welcome Beginners and Casual Players.” Nothing is lost from how we currently enjoy the website. The intention is to welcome players who are not as intensely interested in Euchre.......
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