Reached a 95% confidence interval after 96 hands.
Sample size: 96
Mean of calling: -.2917
Standard deviation: 1.4358
P value: .0494
Calling gets euchred: 28/96 = 29.17%
Calling gets 1 pt: 49/96 = 51.04%
Calling gets sweep: 19/96 = 19.79%
EO of calling: .3229
EO of passing: .6146
EV of calling: -.2917
Interesting to note, calling QhTh9hAdKd actually outperformed this hand:
And it even outperformed the strongest possible calling hand from this configuration!:
The calling EO of QhTh9hAdKd vs Kh was +.3229. The calling EO of QhTh9hAsKs vs Kh in my sample was +.2571. And the calling EO of KhQhThAdKd vs 9h was .32
IOW calling with:
probably ran a little hot in my sample and YET passing with that hand still clearly did better. I'm not surprised by this result. As I predicted, having a hand that hits a Next call changes things.
What IS surprising: Ok we know the EO of calling ran roughly the same between QhTh9hAdKd vs Kh and KhQhThAdKd vs a 9h (.3229 vs .32). But the difference in the EO of passing for each hand is pretty significant. The EO of passing QhTh9hAdKd vs Kh was +.6146 but the EO of passing KhQhThAdKd vs 9h was only +.25. Notice both hands are exactly equivalent if the hand gets to the 2nd rd, but KhQhThAdKd vs 9h should do slightly better than QhTh9hAdKd vs Kh when the dealer picks up. So we would expect KhQhThAdKd vs 9h to have a slightly higher passing EO but that wasn't the case. So what's going on here. Is KhQhThAdkd vs 9h simply running bad after passing or is QhTh9hAdKd vs Kh simply running hot after passing. Which sample approximates reality better?
How am I going to utilize this information: Well since the best possible calling hand from this configuration KhQhThAdKd vs 9h reached a statistical tie between calling and passing after 100 hands, and passing beat out calling after reaching a 95% confidence interval with QhTh9hAdKd I feel reasonably safe passing all hands from this configuration for now (assuming I have a partner I can trust).
The opposite is true with an outside suited green ace. Since calling clearly beat out passing with QhTh9hAsKs vs Kh when we reached a 95% CI, and I reached a statistical tie between calling and passing with the worst possible calling hand from this configuration, QhTh9hAs9s vs Ah, I feel reasonably safe calling all hands from this configuration for now.