So I called next suit holding





I lead offsuit and player to my left takes it with




I really am starting to despise this game.
True but that doesn't prove leading trump is correct. Looking straight at results IS evidence but usually poor evidence to support a claim. That said I do believe leading trump is correct in that spot and I would always do it leading the Left or the Ace of trump.
That is another understandable problem. When the OP does not lead trump he can "trick" his P into not leading trump also for reasons you mentioned.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmIf my partner isn't leading trump on their own call, i am very hesitant to lead it back to them, unless i am looking to take control.
Yep the double club lead was toxic but that's no excuse for the OP to just give up on the hand. Like you said, gotta trump high. As far as I'm concerned trumping low with the 9H in that spot IS just giving up. Keep fighting! Never surrender on a hand. Trump high and hope for the best. The enemy already has 1 trick and now the OP is offering them another easy trick when the right is still out in the wild. That's just bad euchre.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmI don't love their double leading clubs, but on trick 3, it's go big or go home. If you play left or ace on trick 3, again, you're winning this hand.
I agree 100%. There's no point complaining about bad partners or letting them put you on tilt. 95% of euchre players are gonna suck to some degree. The onus is still on us to make the best play possible given the situation.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmSorry, unless i'm missing something, i think this one's on you.
Yes, I wasn't tying to be 100% results oriented here - the thought process is what's important. The specific hand is a data point, not proof.Wes (aka the legend) wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 1:54 pmTrue but that doesn't prove leading trump is correct. Looking straight at results IS evidence but usually poor evidence to support a claim. That said I do believe leading trump is correct in that spot and I would always do it leading the Left or the Ace of trump.
Wolf said it best. So I'll just reiterate:Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pm Out of curiosity, what is your reasoning for not leading the 9? The risk of losing the trick without pulling the right?
Yes, in the case of my partner having 2 trump. But not if they were Trumpless. I was reasonable to assume my partner has no trump therefore the other high ones were quite likely split between the opponents. My only hope was the opponent to my left holding the right bare or it sleeping. If they did and I played high on trick 3 I was likely euchred as the King and Queen were quite likely in the hand of the opponent to my right and I was done.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pm If you play left or ace on trick 3, again, you're winning this hand.
Sorry to quote the whole post but I couldn't figure out how to isolate it.Wes (aka the legend) wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 1:54 pmTrue but that doesn't prove leading trump is correct. Looking straight at results IS evidence but usually poor evidence to support a claim. That said I do believe leading trump is correct in that spot and I would always do it leading the Left or the Ace of trump.
(it may be important to note leading with the 9 of trump from this configuration is clearly incorrect)
But I am hesitant to say for sure that leading trump is correct without actual data, ie a good simulation. I think it's close and like you I'd bet my money leading trump, L or A, is correct.
That is another understandable problem. When the OP does not lead trump he can "trick" his P into not leading trump also for reasons you mentioned.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmIf my partner isn't leading trump on their own call, i am very hesitant to lead it back to them, unless i am looking to take control.
Over the years I've thought about this spot a lot. Situations where it may not be best to lead trump to my Partner the maker. Honestly I've pretty much streamlined my play to just always lead trump to my partner even when they show weakness by not initially leading trump. Once in awhile this approach burns me but I'm betting that overall it's right at least as a general rule.
Yep the double club lead was toxic but that's no excuse for the OP to just give up on the hand. Like you said, gotta trump high. As far as I'm concerned trumping low with the 9H in that spot IS just giving up. Keep fighting! Never surrender on a hand. Trump high and hope for the best. The enemy already has 1 trick and now the OP is offering them another easy trick when the right is still out in the wild. That's just bad euchre.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmI don't love their double leading clubs, but on trick 3, it's go big or go home. If you play left or ace on trick 3, again, you're winning this hand.
I agree 100%. There's no point complaining about bad partners or letting them put you on tilt. 95% of euchre players are gonna suck to some degree. The onus is still on us to make the best play possible given the situation.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmSorry, unless i'm missing something, i think this one's on you.
If your knowledge of euchre probabilities is as extensive as you're implying, why do you not cite any to support your own argument?XaviRonaldo wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 5:59 am Unless someone who is much better than I at probability can convince me otherwise in regards to the odds.
XaviRonaldo wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 5:59 amSorry to quote the whole post but I couldn't figure out how to isolate it.Wes (aka the legend) wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 1:54 pmTrue but that doesn't prove leading trump is correct. Looking straight at results IS evidence but usually poor evidence to support a claim. That said I do believe leading trump is correct in that spot and I would always do it leading the Left or the Ace of trump.
(it may be important to note leading with the 9 of trump from this configuration is clearly incorrect)
But I am hesitant to say for sure that leading trump is correct without actual data, ie a good simulation. I think it's close and like you I'd bet my money leading trump, L or A, is correct.
That is another understandable problem. When the OP does not lead trump he can "trick" his P into not leading trump also for reasons you mentioned.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmIf my partner isn't leading trump on their own call, i am very hesitant to lead it back to them, unless i am looking to take control.
Over the years I've thought about this spot a lot. Situations where it may not be best to lead trump to my Partner the maker. Honestly I've pretty much streamlined my play to just always lead trump to my partner even when they show weakness by not initially leading trump. Once in awhile this approach burns me but I'm betting that overall it's right at least as a general rule.
Yep the double club lead was toxic but that's no excuse for the OP to just give up on the hand. Like you said, gotta trump high. As far as I'm concerned trumping low with the 9H in that spot IS just giving up. Keep fighting! Never surrender on a hand. Trump high and hope for the best. The enemy already has 1 trick and now the OP is offering them another easy trick when the right is still out in the wild. That's just bad euchre.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmI don't love their double leading clubs, but on trick 3, it's go big or go home. If you play left or ace on trick 3, again, you're winning this hand.
I agree 100%. There's no point complaining about bad partners or letting them put you on tilt. 95% of euchre players are gonna suck to some degree. The onus is still on us to make the best play possible given the situation.Catch10110 wrote: Fri Dec 15, 2023 12:40 pmSorry, unless i'm missing something, i think this one's on you.
How do you mean I gave up on the hand?
Let's just assume my partner was void in trumps as I think it's reasonable for me to assume in this situation.
If I trumped high and the player to my left held the right only I was almost guaranteed to be euchred because the player to my right probably held 2 trump of which I can only beat 1. Also with the holding of the player to my left all the player to my right hand to do was force out my remaining high trump for the euchre. They only required 1 trump for that.I really think I played the odds best here by hoping the player to my left only held the right.
I'm honestly not trying to be argumentive but I really don't think my initial lead was horrible. We can all agree though that club lead was diabolical.
Unless someone who is much better than I at probability can convince me otherwise in regards to the odds. I did not give up at all I just played what I thought were the odds.
I also appreciate that the non trump lead my partner may have been reactionary to my lead but you've gotta play your own hand too. He had 2 trump he's gotta lead one there and certainly bloody not lead clubs of which there are no more than 2 left. Even if my lead was wrong I had no information other than the turned down card. My partner had 2 freaking ticks worth of info. They left me in a horrible position that there was no 100% way out of. If they led trump it was guaranteed to be our point. If in doubt you should always lead trump to your partner's call.
If I'm sitting in the first seat and I called it and didn't lead Trump, I generally don't want my partner to lead Trump. I didn't lead Trump for a reason.XaviRonaldo wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 5:35 am I'll defer to the more experience of you guys of my incorrect lead. I'm not going to go into my reasoning for leading offsuit but it's absolutely imperative that you do NOT lead a suit that has already been led to your partner unless Trump has already been drawn. Not leading 1 of your 2 trump when your partner has called is almost always the wrong play. We've already lost 1 trick you are gaining nothing by trying to finesse the hand further when the caller hasn't even expended a trump yet.
My so called wrong lead was based on unknown information. My partner has information of 2 previous tricks. Stands to reason I have at least a boss in 1 offsuit or as was the case here trump tight. A trump lead here is the correct play 99.99999999999999% of the time.
Double leading the same suit when your partner calls is a mistake. It puts your partner in a predicament. If they Trump, they could get over-trumped. If they don't Trump, they are allowing the opponents to win an easy trick. This game was an odd situation, as the caller didn't lead Trump when they could, so it was safe for the partner to assume that a Trump lead was bad. The Partner had only two choices, both of which were bad. Double lead a club or lead a Trump when the first seat caller didn't lead Trump. Leading a Trump here was likely the better call, but the bigger mistakes were made by the caller.ddes300 wrote: Wed Jun 05, 2024 11:01 am On 3rd trick leading second club makes sense to me. Maker needs to go big. Only the R takes if the L or ace is played. The mistake happened on the original lead. Maker leads trump to control trump with boss. Makes the A of Spades more likely to win a trick. That's how I would play it. I'm certainly not an expert, but I like to clear trump to make my suite aces more likely to win a trick.
XaviRonaldo wrote: Fri Jul 12, 2024 3:11 am You're all missing the point here. Yes if I led high trump first trick I might've won (still not guaranteed). Assuming my partner was trump void (which is absolutely reasonable under the circumstances) it's gotta be almost impossible neither of my opponent held 2 trump.
If it's both no matter what I did I was euchred.
If my LHO held the R+ it was probable my RHO would force out my lone high trump on trick 4 for the euchre if I trumped high. Definitely was if they held 2 themselves.
If my RHO held 2 and my LHO only held the R this was the only way I could get out of it.
You can't go and say it was reasonable my partner thought I didn't want a trump lead (especially after 2 tricks and I haven't used one yet). Then go and say it's unreasonable for me to assume my partner is void when they didn't lead trump.
I was asking for probability of what chance it was there were enough sleeping trump to get me out of trouble if I trumped high assuming my partner was void in trump. I'm confident in saying that's almost impossible but I'm happy to be proven wrong if I'm shown the probability which I wouldn't know how to work out.
XaviRonaldo wrote: Fri Jul 12, 2024 3:11 am You can't go and say it was reasonable my partner thought I didn't want a trump lead (especially after 2 tricks and I haven't used one yet). Then go and say it's unreasonable for me to assume my partner is void when they didn't lead trump.