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by raydog » Fri Nov 25, 2022 4:30 pm
You know the opponents (S2/S4) can only get 1 pt. at most, I see no reason to lead your lone R on the first trick. Dealer almost assuredly has more than 1 trump, so will get the lead back later and be able to place any Ace or strong suit. I think you are just limiting your chances of euchring the opponents. I would lead a D, perhaps winning the first trick, perhaps setting up your other D as boss card.
I am not going to simulate this hand because, given the score, S4 is going to make much looser calls, and I can't accurately simulate that.
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Interestingly, I played a hand recently similar to this one but different in 2 important regards. I was in S1 and had the R+1 trump, and S2 ordered up the A of trump. I DIDN'T lead the R, but learned later that S2 had only 2 trump and S4 had only the A picked up - I could have euchred them had I led the R.
So I ran a little scenario to see if, in general, S1 should lead the R if:
1) they have a 2nd trump;
2) they have a non-trump A;
3) S2 is the declarer, R1;
4) an A is turned.
The answer turns out to be yes, BUT they also need to lead their 2nd trump on the 2nd trick, not the off-suit Ace.
I tried again under the same conditions but without S1 having an off-suit Ace. Still better to lead the R, then the 2nd trump.
I then tried switching the turn card to a K (still no off-suit A). Still better to lead the R, then the 2nd trump.
Finally, I tried switching the turn card to a 9 (still no off-suit A). Here it was better to NOT lead the R.
So sometimes draining all those trump in the first couple tricks can really screw things up for opponents, especially if they are counting on trumping void suits a couple of times, and especially if you have high cards in the other suits. This works more reliably when S2 is the one calling trump, as the trump are often more evenly balanced between the two opponents. Never a sure thing, but an added edge.