Newcomer, few questions
Posted: Wed Nov 24, 2021 12:38 am
Hi Everyone! Never knew such a community existed, but love what you guys have going on here.
I have a few questions/thoughts that I'd like some input on.
First of all, I made a statement today saying that Euchre is a game of probabilities, and was told I was wrong and "play style" had a huge impact. What am I missing? Isn't the entire game just a lot of decisions being made on the probabilities of each card in your hand winning the next trick, which guides your decision on which card to play next based on it having the highest probability of winning?
Second of all, I am stuck thinking about a specific hand and the actual probabilities of each outcome. I'm pretty sure I've been euchred going alone on this exact hand in the past, and just want to see the numbers laid out to help me wrap my head around why this is not a good choice.
My Hand:
I am pretty sure a was passed on by all and flipped, prior to me being "stuck" and calling Hearts.
Is there an easy way to calculate my odds of taking all if I go alone?
Odds of getting at least 3?
Odds of getting Euchred?
Odds of getting all if I bring my partner?
Odds of getting Euchred if I bring my partner?
How much does taking my partner with me actually benefit me? I feel the only benefit would be if he had or while either of the opponents have or . Even then, bringing him maxes us out at 2 points if we get them all, vs 4 if i go alone and get them all. How do the probabilities and "value" of the outcome get weighed (?) to figure out the best choice?
So that I don't have to ask in the future, does anyone have a good breakdown for how I would just calculate the probabilities for myself in the future?
Sorry if this is to out there. Maybe this would make more sense to post in a math forum!
Thank you all for any and all input!
I have a few questions/thoughts that I'd like some input on.
First of all, I made a statement today saying that Euchre is a game of probabilities, and was told I was wrong and "play style" had a huge impact. What am I missing? Isn't the entire game just a lot of decisions being made on the probabilities of each card in your hand winning the next trick, which guides your decision on which card to play next based on it having the highest probability of winning?
Second of all, I am stuck thinking about a specific hand and the actual probabilities of each outcome. I'm pretty sure I've been euchred going alone on this exact hand in the past, and just want to see the numbers laid out to help me wrap my head around why this is not a good choice.
My Hand:
I am pretty sure a was passed on by all and flipped, prior to me being "stuck" and calling Hearts.
Is there an easy way to calculate my odds of taking all if I go alone?
Odds of getting at least 3?
Odds of getting Euchred?
Odds of getting all if I bring my partner?
Odds of getting Euchred if I bring my partner?
How much does taking my partner with me actually benefit me? I feel the only benefit would be if he had or while either of the opponents have or . Even then, bringing him maxes us out at 2 points if we get them all, vs 4 if i go alone and get them all. How do the probabilities and "value" of the outcome get weighed (?) to figure out the best choice?
So that I don't have to ask in the future, does anyone have a good breakdown for how I would just calculate the probabilities for myself in the future?
Sorry if this is to out there. Maybe this would make more sense to post in a math forum!
Thank you all for any and all input!