No Trump Order by the Dealer?
Posted: Sat Apr 11, 2020 6:30 pm
Up Score: 0-0 Average & Equal Opponents (Actually weaker)
S4 (Dealer) R1
Would you pick up?
S4 (Dealer) R1
Would you pick up?
Right + two off aces when I block no suits is an auto-call for me. The bottom of my range when I block nothing is Right + a doubleton green ace or Right + a singleton Next ace. Having two off aces is a luxury!Richardb02 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 11, 2020 6:30 pmUp Score: 0-0 Average & Equal Opponents (Actually weaker)
S4 (Dealer) R1
Would you pick up?
We have a guaranteed trick with the Right. I mean I don't have any hard data but surely a singleton Next Ace + a doubleton green ace will equate to at least 1 trick on average. So we got 2 tricks here ime.
This logic doesn't work becuz the vast majority of people do not donate, and even players that do donate typically don't do it at 0-0 (a strategy adjustment I disagree with but is very common amongst donaters).
With 2 off suit aces I expected to take a trick and lead the Right. BPS suggested a 70-75% chance of success.At 0-0 (any neutral score < 3-3)I like to experiment. With weaker competition, I expect poor decisions, not necessarily less aggressive decisions. So I went with my expectation of success at 70-75% (my minimum is 65%, basically break-even). So:Richardb02 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 11, 2020 6:30 pmUp Score: 0-0 Average & Equal Opponents (Actually weaker)
S4 (Dealer) R1
Would you pick up?