Ohio Euchre's Message Center

I disagree with the answer here. I think the idea is that partner in 1st seat, being an experienced player, knows to lead trump, and the hope is that this rids dealer of her only trump. After a monte carlo simulation of 100,000 hands with my euchre program, I find that 1st seat / 3rd seat do indeed win 59% of the hands for 1 pt. But this means they get euchred 41% of the time for an average expected loss per hand of 0.24 pts. If 3rd seat passes, on the other hand, and dealer picks up, dealer and her partner never make more than 1 pt., and get euchred 43% of the time. If dealer passes, 1st gets first pick in round 2, and indeed 1st seat / 3rd seat earn far more pts. (net average expected gain of 0.28 pts if 3rd seat passes, 1st round).
I think this is a case of "expert intuition" not really holding up under the vast array of real-life hands. And it's not even close (losing a quarter of a point vs gaining a quarter of a point).